Language:English
Leganés v Real Racing Club de Santander
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leganés (Local)
Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.387%
Kelly +0.572%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.42%32.54%32.60%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.773.1038.46%35.71%36.04%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)
Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.81%41.87%41.70%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.212.222.3552.36%45.27%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.63%3.90fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.926%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.59%25.69%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.543.553.8033.33%28.27%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leganés (Local): 32.65%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 41.72%; Draw: 25.63%. For Leganés (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV +1.20%E +0.387%K +0.572%G +0.007% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +0.874%E +0.283%K +0.418%G +0.004% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.59%E -0.682%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -1.74%E -0.577%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -16.56%E -8.28%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.31%E -10.63%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.10%E -7.70%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-09 15:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |