مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leganés v Real Racing Club de Santander

البداية: 2026-05-10 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Leganés 1–2 Real Racing Club de Santander

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leganés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.65%3.06السعر العادل
EV +1.20%
الأفضلية +0.387%
Kelly +0.572%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.42%32.54%32.60%34.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.802.773.1038.46%35.71%36.04%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Racing Club de Santander (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.72%2.40السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.81%41.87%41.70%44.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.212.222.3552.36%45.27%45.05%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.63%3.90السعر العادل
EV -2.59%
الأفضلية -0.682%
Kelly -0.926%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.21%25.59%25.69%27.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.543.553.8033.33%28.27%28.17%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV +1.20%E +0.387%K +0.572%G +0.007%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:58
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +0.874%E +0.283%K +0.418%G +0.004%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.59%E -0.682%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -1.74%E -0.577%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 13:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -16.56%E -8.28%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 13:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:54
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:54
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:34
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 12:15
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:53
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 23:45
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 23:44
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:54
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 13:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 13:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 14:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.31%E -10.63%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.10%E -7.70%K -11.55%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 23:45
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 15:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 23:50
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 13:54
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 13:54
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 15:48
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 13:40
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 13:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-05-10 13:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-05-10 13:09