La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Leganés v Real Racing Club de Santander
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 32.65%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.387%
Kelly +0.572%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%32.54%32.60%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.773.1038.46%35.71%36.04%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visitante)
Predicción 41.72%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.81%41.87%41.70%44.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.212.222.3552.36%45.27%45.05%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.63%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -0.926%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.21%25.59%25.69%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.543.553.8033.33%28.27%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV +1.20%E +0.387%K +0.572%G +0.007% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +0.874%E +0.283%K +0.418%G +0.004% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.59%E -0.682%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -1.74%E -0.577%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -16.56%E -8.28%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:53 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.31%E -10.63%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.10%E -7.70%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-09 15:48 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |