L’École des cotesFrançais
Leganés v Real Racing Club de Santander
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Leganés (Local)
Prévision 32.65%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +0.572%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.42%32.54%32.60%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.773.1038.46%35.71%36.04%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.72%2.40cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.81%41.87%41.70%44.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.212.222.3552.36%45.27%45.05%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -0.926%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%25.59%25.69%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.543.553.8033.33%28.27%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV +1.20%E +0.387%K +0.572%G +0.007% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +0.874%E +0.283%K +0.418%G +0.004% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.59%E -0.682%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -1.74%E -0.577%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -16.56%E -8.28%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:53 |
| BetAnything | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 23:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.31%E -10.63%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.10%E -7.70%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 23:50 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-09 15:48 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |