La scuola delle quote

Leganés v Real Racing Club de Santander

Inizio: 2026-05-10 14:15 UTC

Finale: Leganés 1–2 Real Racing Club de Santander

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Leganés (Casa)

Previsione 32.65%3.06quota equa
EV +1.20%
Vantaggio +0.387%
Kelly +0.572%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.42%32.54%32.60%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.802.773.1038.46%35.71%36.04%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Racing Club de Santander (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.72%2.40quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -0.832%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.81%41.87%41.70%44.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.212.222.3552.36%45.27%45.05%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.63%3.90quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -0.682%
Kelly -0.926%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.21%25.59%25.69%27.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.543.553.8033.33%28.27%28.17%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV +1.20%E +0.387%K +0.572%G +0.007%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:58
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +0.874%E +0.283%K +0.418%G +0.004%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.59%E -0.682%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:04
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.14%EV -1.74%E -0.577%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 13:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -2.06%E -0.688%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -16.56%E -8.28%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 13:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:54
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -5.71%E -2.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:54
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 08:34
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 12:15
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:53
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 23:45
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.75%EV -7.94%E -2.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.60%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 23:44
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 13:54
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 13:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 13:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 14:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -20.31%E -10.63%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.10%E -7.70%K -11.55%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -1.96%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:54
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 23:45
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 15:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 23:50
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:54
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 13:54
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.64%E -6.59%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 13:54
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 13:54
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 15:48
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.27%EV -14.47%E -5.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -14.47%E -7.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 13:40
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 13:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:09
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-10 13:10
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-05-10 13:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-05-10 13:09