Language:English
Las Palmas v Zaragoza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 66.25%1.51fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -8.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.82%66.30%66.13%68.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.36%71.94%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zaragoza (Visit)
Prediction 13.22%7.56fair odd
EV +6.96%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +0.982%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 8.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.79%13.22%13.26%15.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.757.007.008.0917.39%14.28%14.29%12.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.53%4.87fair odd
EV -0.024%
Edge -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.15%20.48%20.61%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.454.404.8726.67%22.48%22.73%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 66.25%; Zaragoza (Visit): 13.22%; Draw: 20.53%. For Zaragoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.85%EV +6.96%E +0.860%K +0.982%G +0.068% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.048% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.81%E -0.668%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.70%EV -12.55%E -9.51%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.26%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.12%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.62%EV -23.02%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.40%EV -8.51%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.10%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.24%E -6.74%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.39%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -12.08%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -12.74%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -16.71%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -20.67%E -3.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.19% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |