La scuola delle quote

Las Palmas v Zaragoza

Inizio: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Finale: Las Palmas 1–1 Zaragoza

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 66.25%1.51quota equa
EV -3.94%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -8.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.82%66.30%66.13%68.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.36%71.94%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zaragoza (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.22%7.56quota equa
EV +6.96%
Vantaggio +0.860%
Kelly +0.982%
Crescita +0.068%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.79%13.22%13.26%15.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.757.007.008.0917.39%14.28%14.29%12.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.53%4.87quota equa
EV -0.024%
Vantaggio -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.15%20.48%20.61%22.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.454.404.8726.67%22.48%22.73%20.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.85%EV +6.96%E +0.860%K +0.982%G +0.068%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.048%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:39
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.81%E -0.668%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:59
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:58
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.70%EV -12.55%E -9.51%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.26%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.12%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.62%EV -23.02%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.40%EV -8.51%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.10%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.24%E -6.74%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.39%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -12.08%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -12.74%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -16.71%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 15:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -20.67%E -3.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.19%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90%1.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-05-24 15:50