مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v Zaragoza

البداية: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Las Palmas 1–1 Zaragoza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.25%1.51السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -2.72%
Kelly -8.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.82%66.30%66.13%68.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.36%71.94%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zaragoza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.22%7.56السعر العادل
EV +6.96%
الأفضلية +0.860%
Kelly +0.982%
النمو +0.068%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.79%13.22%13.26%15.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.757.007.008.0917.39%14.28%14.29%12.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.53%4.87السعر العادل
EV -0.024%
الأفضلية -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.15%20.48%20.61%22.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.454.404.8726.67%22.48%22.73%20.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.85%EV +6.96%E +0.860%K +0.982%G +0.068%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.048%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:39
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.81%E -0.668%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:59
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:58
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.70%EV -12.55%E -9.51%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.26%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.12%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.62%EV -23.02%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.40%EV -8.51%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.10%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.24%E -6.74%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.39%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -12.08%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -12.74%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -16.71%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 15:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -20.67%E -3.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.19%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90%1.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-05-24 15:50