L’École des cotes

Las Palmas v Zaragoza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Score final : Las Palmas 1–1 Zaragoza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 66.25%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -8.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.82%66.30%66.13%68.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.36%71.94%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zaragoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.22%7.56cote équitable
EV +6.96%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +0.982%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 8.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.79%13.22%13.26%15.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.757.007.008.0917.39%14.28%14.29%12.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.53%4.87cote équitable
EV -0.024%
Avantage -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.15%20.48%20.61%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.454.404.8726.67%22.48%22.73%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.85%EV +6.96%E +0.860%K +0.982%G +0.068%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.048%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 23:09
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:39
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.81%E -0.668%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:59
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 15:58
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.70%EV -12.55%E -9.51%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.26%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.12%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.62%EV -23.02%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.40%EV -8.51%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.10%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.24%E -6.74%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.39%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -12.08%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -12.74%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -16.71%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 15:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -20.67%E -3.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.19%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90%1.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-05-24 15:50