La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Las Palmas v Zaragoza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 66.25%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -8.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.82%66.30%66.13%68.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.391.4576.92%72.36%71.94%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zaragoza (Visitante)
Predicción 13.22%7.56momio equitativo
EV +6.96%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +0.982%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.79%13.22%13.26%15.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.757.007.008.0917.39%14.28%14.29%12.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.53%4.87momio equitativo
EV -0.024%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.15%20.48%20.61%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.454.404.8726.67%22.48%22.73%20.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.85%EV +6.96%E +0.860%K +0.982%G +0.068% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.77%E +0.721%K +0.824%G +0.048% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.80%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -2.49%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -0.840%E -0.112%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -8.58%E -6.21%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.65%EV -2.16%E -0.292%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -4.15%E -0.572%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -4.81%E -0.668%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -1.46%E -0.304%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 15:58 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.70%EV -12.55%E -9.51%K -39.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.26%EV -13.88%E -10.67%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.12%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.62%EV -23.02%E -6.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.76%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.40%EV -8.51%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.37%EV -8.77%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -7.91%E -5.69%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -10.10%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.24%E -6.74%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.39%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.08%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -12.08%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.54%EV -12.74%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.82%EV -16.71%E -2.65%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.23%E -8.38%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -20.67%E -3.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -23.98%E -4.17%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.19% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |