Language:English
Las Palmas v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 56.60%1.77fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%56.52%56.61%57.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.60%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 18.85%5.30fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.300%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%18.90%18.88%20.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.905.005.3923.26%20.41%20.00%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%24.58%24.52%26.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.713.754.0031.25%26.96%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 56.60%; Leganés (Visit): 18.85%; Draw: 24.55%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.92%EV +1.62%E +0.300%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.51%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.79%E -0.449%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.56%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.35%E -2.58%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.02%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.56%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -12.11%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.44%E -6.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |