La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Las Palmas v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 56.60%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -2.58%
Kelly -6.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.40%56.52%56.61%57.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.60%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 18.85%5.30momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.300%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.65%18.90%18.88%20.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.905.005.3923.26%20.41%20.00%18.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.55%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.449%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.89%24.58%24.52%26.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.713.754.0031.25%26.96%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.92%EV +1.62%E +0.300%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.51%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:08 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.79%E -0.449%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.56%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.35%E -2.58%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.02%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 09:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.56%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -12.11%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.44%E -6.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |