StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Las Palmas v Leganés

Matchstart: 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Las Palmas 2–0 Leganés

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Las Palmas (Hemma)

Prognos 56.60%1.77rättvist odds
EV -4.35%
Fördel -2.58%
Kelly -6.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.40%56.52%56.61%57.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.60%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leganés (Borta)

Prognos 18.85%5.30rättvist odds
EV +1.62%
Fördel +0.300%
Kelly +0.368%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.65%18.90%18.88%20.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.304.905.005.3923.26%20.41%20.00%18.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.55%4.07rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -0.449%
Kelly -0.598%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.89%24.58%24.52%26.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.713.754.0031.25%26.96%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Las Palmas (Hemma): 56.60%; Leganés (Borta): 18.85%; Oavgjort: 24.55%. För Leganés (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.30. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.39, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.92%EV +1.62%E +0.300%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.51%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:08
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.79%E -0.449%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:39
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:39
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:49
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.56%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:40
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.35%E -2.58%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.02%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:39
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 08:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:31
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.56%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -12.11%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:31
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.44%E -6.70%K -9.74%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 08:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:34
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-04-17 18:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-04-17 18:45