L’École des cotesFrançais
Las Palmas v Leganés
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Palmas (Local)
Prévision 56.60%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -6.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.40%56.52%56.61%57.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.60%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Leganés (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.85%5.30cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.300%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.65%18.90%18.88%20.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.905.005.3923.26%20.41%20.00%18.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.55%4.07cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.449%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.89%24.58%24.52%26.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.754.0031.25%26.96%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.92%EV +1.62%E +0.300%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.51%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:08 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.79%E -0.449%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.56%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.35%E -2.58%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.02%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 09:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.56%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -12.11%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 18:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.44%E -6.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:45 |