مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v Leganés

البداية: 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Las Palmas 2–0 Leganés

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.60%1.77السعر العادل
EV -4.35%
الأفضلية -2.58%
Kelly -6.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.40%56.52%56.61%57.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.60%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leganés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.85%5.30السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.300%
Kelly +0.368%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.65%18.90%18.88%20.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.304.905.005.3923.26%20.41%20.00%18.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.55%4.07السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.449%
Kelly -0.598%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.89%24.58%24.52%26.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.713.754.0031.25%26.96%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.92%EV +1.62%E +0.300%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.51%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 18:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:08
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.79%E -0.449%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 18:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:34
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:40
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.53%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.02%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.58%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.378%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -5.48%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:40
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:39
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:39
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.85%E -0.755%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:39
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:39
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -4.79%E -0.949%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:34
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:04
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:59
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:59
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:50
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:44
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:39
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:40
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.56%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -4.35%E -2.58%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.02%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:39
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:34
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -11.14%E -7.10%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:34
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 08:29
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.16%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 08:29
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.39%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 08:39
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.91%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:31
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 09:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.75%E -4.75%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.39%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.56%EV -8.88%E -5.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.99%EV -12.11%E -3.38%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 18:31
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 08:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.93%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.07%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -13.41%E -8.76%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.30%EV -21.44%E -6.70%K -9.74%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-17 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -18.93%E -4.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 08:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:34
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-04-17 18:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-04-17 18:45