Language:English
Las Palmas v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Palmas (Local)
Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV +0.816%
Edge +0.293%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.04%36.15%36.27%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.522.7943.48%39.47%39.68%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.16%34.04%33.90%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.672.672.8641.67%37.41%37.45%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.81%29.83%31.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.2537.04%32.36%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Palmas (Local): 36.13%; CD Castellón (Visit): 34.03%; Draw: 29.83%. For Las Palmas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.816%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.816%E +0.293%K +0.456%G +0.004% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.47%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -1.35%E -0.495%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.24%E -1.60%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 04:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.49%E -2.93%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.10%EV -7.77%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -10.02%E -4.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -12.19%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.13%E -3.42%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 19:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.29%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -18.32%E -7.63%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.45%E -7.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -15.08%E -6.42%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.55%EV -15.44%E -6.60%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.16%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.89%E -7.34%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -16.62%E -6.78%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |