L’École des cotesFrançais
Las Palmas v CD Castellón
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Palmas (Local)
Prévision 36.13%2.77cote équitable
EV +0.816%
Avantage +0.293%
Kelly +0.456%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 2.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.04%36.15%36.27%37.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.522.7943.48%39.47%39.68%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CD Castellón (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.03%2.94cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.933%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.16%34.04%33.90%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.672.672.8641.67%37.41%37.45%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.83%3.35cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.936%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.81%29.83%31.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.2537.04%32.36%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.816%E +0.293%K +0.456%G +0.004% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.47%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -1.35%E -0.495%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.24%E -1.60%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Bovada | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.49%E -2.93%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.10%EV -7.77%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 19:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:11 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -10.02%E -4.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -12.19%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.13%E -3.42%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 19:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.29%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -18.32%E -7.63%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.45%E -7.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -15.08%E -6.42%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.55%EV -15.44%E -6.60%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.16%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.89%E -7.34%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -16.62%E -6.78%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |