مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v CD Castellón

البداية: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.13%2.77السعر العادل
EV +0.816%
الأفضلية +0.293%
Kelly +0.456%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.04%36.15%36.27%37.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.532.522.7943.48%39.47%39.68%35.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CD Castellón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.03%2.94السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -0.933%
Kelly -1.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.16%34.04%33.90%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.672.672.8641.67%37.41%37.45%34.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.83%3.35السعر العادل
EV -3.04%
الأفضلية -0.936%
Kelly -1.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.60%29.81%29.83%31.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.093.103.2537.04%32.36%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.816%E +0.293%K +0.456%G +0.004%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.47%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -1.35%E -0.495%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 08:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 08:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.24%E -1.60%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 19:50
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 04:19
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 01:14
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 01:14
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:35
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.49%E -2.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.10%EV -7.77%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 04:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 20:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 19:49
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:15
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:15
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:54
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:54
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 00:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:54
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 19:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-20 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:11
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:10
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -10.02%E -4.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -12.19%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 00:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.13%E -3.42%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 19:38
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.29%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -18.32%E -7.63%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.45%E -7.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -15.08%E -6.42%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.34I 42.74%NM 37.55%EV -15.44%E -6.60%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.16%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 19:50
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.89%E -7.34%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -16.62%E -6.78%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-21 19:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.37%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-02-21 19:50