La scuola delle quote

Las Palmas v CD Castellón

Inizio: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 36.13%2.77quota equa
EV +0.816%
Vantaggio +0.293%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.04%36.15%36.27%37.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.532.522.7943.48%39.47%39.68%35.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.03%2.94quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -0.933%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.16%34.04%33.90%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.672.672.8641.67%37.41%37.45%34.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.83%3.35quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -0.936%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.60%29.81%29.83%31.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.093.103.2537.04%32.36%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.816%E +0.293%K +0.456%G +0.004%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.47%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -1.35%E -0.495%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 08:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 08:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.24%E -1.60%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 19:50
Marathon Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 04:19
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 00:54
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 01:14
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 01:14
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:35
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.49%E -2.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.10%EV -7.77%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:44
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 04:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 20:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 19:49
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:15
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:15
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:54
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 00:54
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 00:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:54
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 00:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 19:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-20 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:11
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:10
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -10.02%E -4.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-20 05:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -12.19%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 00:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.13%E -3.42%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 19:38
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.29%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -18.32%E -7.63%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.45%E -7.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -15.08%E -6.42%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 18:14
Unibet (FR)2.34I 42.74%NM 37.55%EV -15.44%E -6.60%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.16%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 19:50
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.89%E -7.34%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -16.62%E -6.78%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-21 19:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.37%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-02-21 19:50