La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Las Palmas v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 36.13%2.77momio equitativo
EV +0.816%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.456%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.04%36.15%36.27%37.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.522.7943.48%39.47%39.68%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 34.03%2.94momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.933%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.16%34.04%33.90%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.672.672.8641.67%37.41%37.45%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -0.936%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%29.81%29.83%31.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.2537.04%32.36%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV +0.816%E +0.293%K +0.456%G +0.004% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.71%EV -9.47%E -3.56%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -1.35%E -0.495%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.67%E -0.933%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -5.73%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.44%E -0.902%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.55%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.04%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 08:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.24%E -1.60%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.04%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.05%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Bovada | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.49%E -2.93%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.10%EV -7.77%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 19:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.71%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.50%EV -8.94%E -3.55%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.84%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:11 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.66%E -3.87%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -10.02%E -4.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.47%E -4.68%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -12.19%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 00:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.13%E -3.42%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -9.61%E -3.17%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 19:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.29%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.89%E -4.41%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -13.28%E -5.53%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -18.32%E -7.63%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -19.45%E -7.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -15.08%E -6.42%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.22%E -5.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-21 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.55%EV -15.44%E -6.60%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.16%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.23%EV -16.89%E -7.34%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.01%EV -16.62%E -6.78%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.76%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |