Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Palmas v Albacete

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%56.58%56.98%58.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.6966.67%62.03%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albacete (Visit)

Prediction 18.73%5.34fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.55%18.83%18.72%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.824.855.2023.53%20.75%20.62%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%24.59%24.30%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.753.9929.41%26.93%26.67%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Palmas (Local): 56.81%; Albacete (Visit): 18.73%; Draw: 24.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.99, with an expected value of -2.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.07%EV -3.98%E -2.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.06%EV -6.91%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.87%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:24
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.21%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.70%EV -3.73%E -0.726%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.607%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 19:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -8.23%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:19
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.35%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.03%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 16:55
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.27%EV -7.39%E -4.53%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.35%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -5.11%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 19:24
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.68%EV -7.39%E -4.53%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -20.40%E -4.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -16.85%E -4.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 17:04
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.23%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.53%E -5.30%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.23%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.35%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.03%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 16:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -9.10%E -5.69%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.03%E -2.32%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 16:10
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -2.61%E -0.501%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 17:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -10.80%E -6.88%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -18.90%E -4.37%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -14.40%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.66%EV -13.64%E -8.97%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -11.97%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.51%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.31%EV -13.64%E -8.97%K -26.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -10.10%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -13.18%E -3.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-03 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.57%EV -14.78%E -9.85%K -29.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.77%EV -13.84%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-03 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.