Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Las Palmas v Albacete

Inizio: 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

Finale: Las Palmas 2–1 Albacete

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Las Palmas (Casa)

Previsione 47.63%2.10quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -3.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.78%47.71%47.59%50.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.891.912.0259.52%52.85%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Albacete (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.90%4.02quota equa
EV +5.83%
Vantaggio +1.37%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescita +0.104%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.96%24.83%24.89%26.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.783.754.2528.57%26.45%26.67%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.47%3.64quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.50%27.46%27.52%28.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Las Palmas (Casa): 47.63%; Albacete (Trasferta): 24.90%; Pareggio: 27.47%. Per Albacete (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.02. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:04
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -16.17%E -9.19%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -4.26%E -2.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.39%E -0.610%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.77%EV -19.98%E -11.89%K -29.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.15%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-16 19:04
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.38%EV -4.69%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.16%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.59%EV -11.40%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:23
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-08-16 19:25