Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Palmas v Albacete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

Score final : Las Palmas 2–1 Albacete

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Palmas (Local)

Prévision 47.63%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.78%47.71%47.59%50.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.891.912.0259.52%52.85%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Albacete (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV +5.83%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.104%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.96%24.83%24.89%26.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.754.2528.57%26.45%26.67%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%27.46%27.52%28.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Las Palmas (Local) : 47.63% ; Albacete (Visiteur) : 24.90% ; Match nul : 27.47%. Pour Albacete (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +5.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:04
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -16.17%E -9.19%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -4.26%E -2.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.39%E -0.610%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.77%EV -19.98%E -11.89%K -29.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.15%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-16 19:04
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.38%EV -4.69%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.16%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.59%EV -11.40%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:23
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-08-16 19:25