Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Las Palmas v Albacete

Początek: 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Las Palmas 2–1 Albacete

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Las Palmas (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 47.63%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -3.78%
Przewaga -1.87%
Kelly -3.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.78%47.71%47.59%50.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.891.912.0259.52%52.85%52.36%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Albacete (Goście)

Prognoza 24.90%4.02kurs godziwy
EV +5.83%
Przewaga +1.37%
Kelly +1.79%
Wzrost +0.104%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.96%24.83%24.89%26.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.783.754.2528.57%26.45%26.67%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.47%3.64kurs godziwy
EV -3.87%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.50%27.46%27.52%28.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.333.303.5032.26%30.06%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Las Palmas (Gospodarze): 47.63%; Albacete (Goście): 24.90%; Remis: 27.47%. Dla wyniku Albacete (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.02. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.83%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:04
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -16.17%E -9.19%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -4.26%E -2.12%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.39%E -0.610%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 19:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.77%EV -19.98%E -11.89%K -29.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.15%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-16 19:04
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.38%EV -4.69%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 19:24
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.16%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:23
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.59%EV -11.40%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:24
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:23
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 19:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 19:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 19:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-16 19:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-08-16 19:25