Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Palmas (Local): 47.63%; Albacete (Visitante): 24.90%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Albacete (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.02. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.83%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +5.83%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -15.21%E -8.55%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +2.09%E +0.510%K +0.675%G +0.014% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -16.17%E -9.19%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -16.64%E -9.51%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -0.399%E -0.100%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -4.26%E -2.12%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.39%E -0.610%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.96%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 19:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.741%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.77%EV -19.98%E -11.89%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.15%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-16 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.38%EV -4.69%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.38%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.93%E -5.84%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.37%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.16%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 19:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.59%EV -11.40%E -6.13%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.83%E -7.01%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -10.45%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 19:19 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |