Language:English
Girona FC v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Girona FC (Local)
Prediction 41.91%2.39fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.99%41.85%43.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.162.3250.76%45.92%46.30%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 31.13%3.21fair odd
EV +0.559%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.05%31.20%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.2336.36%33.82%33.90%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%26.97%26.95%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Girona FC (Local): 41.91%; CD Castellón (Visit): 31.13%; Draw: 26.95%. For CD Castellón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.559%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV +0.559%E +0.173%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 16:16 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -1.62%E -0.513%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.96%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.81%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.23%EV -13.66%E -6.63%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 16:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 16:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 16:21 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.73%E -5.04%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -10.65%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.51%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.53%EV -17.43%E -8.85%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.21%E -4.33%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 16:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |