StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Girona FC v CD Castellón

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 16:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Girona FC 1–2 CD Castellón

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Girona FC (Hemma)

Prognos 41.91%2.39rättvist odds
EV -2.76%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -2.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%41.99%41.85%43.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.972.182.162.3250.76%45.92%46.30%43.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Borta)

Prognos 31.13%3.21rättvist odds
EV +0.559%
Fördel +0.173%
Kelly +0.251%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.61%31.05%31.20%33.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.962.953.2336.36%33.82%33.90%30.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.95%3.71rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -0.823%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.08%26.97%26.95%28.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Girona FC (Hemma): 41.91%; CD Castellón (Borta): 31.13%; Oavgjort: 26.95%. För CD Castellón (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.21. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.23, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.559%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV +0.559%E +0.173%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 16:16
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -1.62%E -0.513%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.96%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.81%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:41
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.23%EV -13.66%E -6.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:26
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.73%E -5.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -10.65%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.51%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.53%EV -17.43%E -8.85%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-12 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.21%E -4.33%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 16:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-09-12 16:25