StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Girona FC v CD Castellón

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-12 16:30 UTC

Endstand: Girona FC 1–2 CD Castellón

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Girona FC (Heim)

Prognose 41.91%2.39faire Quote
EV -2.76%
Vorteil -1.19%
Kelly -2.09%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.75%41.99%41.85%43.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.972.182.162.3250.76%45.92%46.30%43.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.13%3.21faire Quote
EV +0.559%
Vorteil +0.173%
Kelly +0.251%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.61%31.05%31.20%33.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.962.953.2336.36%33.82%33.90%30.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.95%3.71faire Quote
EV -2.96%
Vorteil -0.823%
Kelly -1.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.08%26.97%26.95%28.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Girona FC (Heim): 41.91%; CD Castellón (Auswärts): 31.13%; Unentschieden: 26.95%. Für CD Castellón (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.21. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.23 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.559%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV +0.559%E +0.173%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 16:16
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -1.62%E -0.513%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.96%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.81%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:41
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.23%EV -13.66%E -6.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:26
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.73%E -5.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -10.65%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.51%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.53%EV -17.43%E -8.85%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-12 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.21%E -4.33%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 16:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-09-12 16:25