默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Girona FC v CD Castellón

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 16:30 UTC

最终结果: Girona FC 1–2 CD Castellón

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Girona FC (主队)

预测 41.91%2.39公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.32

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.99%41.85%43.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.182.162.3250.76%45.92%46.30%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

CD Castellón (客队)

预测 31.13%3.21公平赔率
EV +0.559%
优势 +0.173%
Kelly +0.251%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.23

博彩公司预测分布
29.61%31.05%31.20%33.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.962.953.2336.36%33.82%33.90%30.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.95%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -0.823%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.08%26.97%26.95%28.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Girona FC (主队):41.91%;CD Castellón (客队):31.13%;平局:26.95%。 对于“CD Castellón (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.23,对应+0.559%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV +0.559%E +0.173%K +0.251%G +0.001%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 16:16
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.06%EV -1.62%E -0.513%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.93%E -0.613%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.96%E -0.823%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -9.47%E -4.38%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:41
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.49%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.57%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.60%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.22%EV -6.91%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.81%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:41
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -6.54%E -2.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -13.24%E -6.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.23%EV -13.66%E -6.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.16%E -2.77%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -2.76%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -8.47%E -2.88%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.13%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:26
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:25
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.71%E -3.35%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 16:21
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.34%E -3.59%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.73%E -5.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -10.65%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.51%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.53%EV -17.43%E -8.85%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -11.27%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-12 15:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.21%E -4.33%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -13.74%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.95%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.40%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.83%E -4.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 16:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -5.70%E -2.53%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -14.38%E -5.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-09-12 16:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 16:25
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-09-12 16:25