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Celta Fortuna v Tenerife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Prediction 32.93%3.04fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.47%32.89%32.90%34.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.762.753.0040.32%36.26%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tenerife (Visit)
Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%37.73%37.68%38.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.462.6046.51%40.78%40.73%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.58%29.38%29.42%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.29%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celta Fortuna (Local): 32.93%; Tenerife (Visit): 37.72%; Draw: 29.35%. For Celta Fortuna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.20%E -0.399%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 18:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.20%E -0.399%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -1.20%E -0.399%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -1.53%E -0.510%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.82%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-19 18:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -7.85%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.49%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.49%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -4.49%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-19 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.14%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.14%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.14%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -6.14%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-19 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.12%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.70%EV -6.84%E -2.77%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.28%EV -6.67%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-19 18:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-19 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-19 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-19 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 18:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-19 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-19 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.02%EV -7.22%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.61%E -4.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.61%E -4.48%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -9.43%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-19 18:11 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.89%EV -10.42%E -3.83%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.52%EV -11.07%E -3.65%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-19 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -1.94%E -0.745%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -1.94%E -0.745%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -1.94%E -0.745%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -1.94%E -0.745%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.08%E -4.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-19 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -12.72%E -4.80%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.20%EV -14.37%E -5.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.94%EV -18.91%E -8.79%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -16.02%E -6.28%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -6.46%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.69%EV -18.32%E -7.39%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.15%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.16%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-19 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 18:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 18:06 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-19 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-19 18:26 |