Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Fortuna v Tenerife

2026-10-19 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celta Fortuna (Local)

Previsão 34.99%2.86odd justa
EV +3.22%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.55%35.16%35.00%36.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.702.652.9540.82%36.98%37.74%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tenerife (Visitante)

Previsão 35.99%2.78odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.400%
Kelly +0.621%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.93%35.91%35.94%39.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.442.452.8146.08%40.93%40.82%35.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.02%3.45odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.550%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.82%28.93%29.06%29.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.173.203.4034.48%31.55%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Celta Fortuna (Local): 34.99%; Tenerife (Visitante): 35.99%; Empate: 29.02%. Para Celta Fortuna (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.86. 4 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.95, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -2.03%E -0.725%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -19.03%E -8.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-12 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.78%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.43%E -2.47%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.38%EV -21.91%E -10.10%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.97%EV -14.38%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-12 19:14
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.07%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -1.40%E -0.509%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:18
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 15:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -11.11%E -4.50%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -12.06%E -3.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-12 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -9.38%E -3.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV +1.12%E +0.400%K +0.621%G +0.007%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.25%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.09%EV -9.73%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.00%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 19:15
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-12 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -20.83%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.83%E -5.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-12 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.28%E -5.83%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-12 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%16.1%2026-10-12 15:40
Arbitragem (28 combinações) +1.12%Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.3%) / Pinnacle 2.81 (36.0%) / Betr (AU) 3.40 (29.7%)Mostrar as 28 combinações
Celta Fortuna (Local)Tenerife (Visitante)EmpateMargem
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%