Idioma:Español
Celta Fortuna v Tenerife
Resultado del partido
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Predicción 34.99%2.86momio equitativo
EV +3.22%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.55%35.16%35.00%36.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.702.652.9540.82%36.98%37.74%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tenerife (Visitante)
Predicción 35.99%2.78momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.400%
Kelly +0.621%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.93%35.91%35.94%39.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.172.442.452.8146.08%40.93%40.82%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.02%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.388%
Kelly -0.550%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.82%28.93%29.06%29.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.203.4034.48%31.55%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Celta Fortuna (Local): 34.99%; Tenerife (Visitante): 35.99%; Empate: 29.02%. Para Celta Fortuna (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.86. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.22%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -2.03%E -0.725%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -19.03%E -8.46%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.78%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.43%E -2.47%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.38%EV -21.91%E -10.10%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.97%EV -14.38%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.07%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -1.40%E -0.509%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 19:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -11.11%E -4.50%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -12.06%E -3.98%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -9.38%E -3.62%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV +1.12%E +0.400%K +0.621%G +0.007% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.25%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.09%EV -9.73%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.00%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 19:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -20.83%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.83%E -5.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-10-12 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.28%E -5.83%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69% | 16.1% | 2026-10-12 15:40 |
Arbitraje (28 combinaciones) +1.12%Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.3%) / Pinnacle 2.81 (36.0%) / Betr (AU) 3.40 (29.7%)Ver las 28 combinaciones
| Celta Fortuna (Local) | Tenerife (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%) | +1.12% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.3%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%) | +1.12% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.3%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%) | +1.12% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%) | +1.12% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%) | +0.396% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%) | +0.396% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%) | +0.396% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | 1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%) | +0.396% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%) | FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%) | +0.212% |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | 1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%) | +0.194% |
| Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | 1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%) | +0.194% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | 1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%) | +0.194% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%) | 1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%) | Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%) | +0.194% |