Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celta Fortuna v Tenerife

2026-10-19 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celta Fortuna (Local)

Prévision 34.99%2.86cote équitable
EV +3.22%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.55%35.16%35.00%36.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.702.652.9540.82%36.98%37.74%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tenerife (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.99%2.78cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.400%
Kelly +0.621%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.93%35.91%35.94%39.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.442.452.8146.08%40.93%40.82%35.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.02%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.82%28.93%29.06%29.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.173.203.4034.48%31.55%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Celta Fortuna (Local) : 34.99% ; Tenerife (Visiteur) : 35.99% ; Match nul : 29.02%. Pour Celta Fortuna (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.86. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.95, pour une espérance positive de +3.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -2.03%E -0.725%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -19.03%E -8.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-12 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.78%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.43%E -2.47%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.38%EV -21.91%E -10.10%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.97%EV -14.38%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-12 19:14
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.07%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -1.40%E -0.509%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:18
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 15:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -11.11%E -4.50%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -12.06%E -3.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-12 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -9.38%E -3.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV +1.12%E +0.400%K +0.621%G +0.007%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.25%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.09%EV -9.73%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.00%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 19:15
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-12 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -20.83%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.83%E -5.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-12 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.28%E -5.83%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-12 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%16.1%2026-10-12 15:40
Arbitrage (28 combinaisons) +1.12%Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.3%) / Pinnacle 2.81 (36.0%) / Betr (AU) 3.40 (29.7%)Afficher les 28 combinaisons
Celta Fortuna (Local)Tenerife (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%