StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celta Fortuna v Tenerife

2026-10-19 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Direkter Vergleich

33 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celta Fortuna (Heim)

Prognose 34.99%2.86faire Quote
EV +3.22%
Vorteil +1.09%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.053%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.55%35.16%35.00%36.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.702.652.9540.82%36.98%37.74%33.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tenerife (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.99%2.78faire Quote
EV +1.12%
Vorteil +0.400%
Kelly +0.621%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.93%35.91%35.94%39.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.172.442.452.8146.08%40.93%40.82%35.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.02%3.45faire Quote
EV -1.32%
Vorteil -0.388%
Kelly -0.550%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.82%28.93%29.06%29.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.173.203.4034.48%31.55%31.25%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Celta Fortuna (Heim): 34.99%; Tenerife (Auswärts): 35.99%; Unentschieden: 29.02%. Für Celta Fortuna (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.86. 4 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.95 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.22%.

Wettanbieterquoten (33 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV +3.22%E +1.09%K +1.65%G +0.053%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 19:14
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:15
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -17.23%E -7.49%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 19:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -0.280%E -0.098%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-12 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -2.03%E -0.725%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -19.03%E -8.46%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-12 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.78%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.43%E -2.47%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -1.32%E -0.388%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.38%EV -21.91%E -10.10%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.97%EV -14.38%E -4.87%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-12 19:14
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.07%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -1.40%E -0.509%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:19
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 19:18
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 15:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.03%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.03%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-12 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -11.11%E -4.50%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -12.06%E -3.98%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-12 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.82%EV -9.38%E -3.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV +1.12%E +0.400%K +0.621%G +0.007%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.25%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.09%EV -9.73%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.00%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.91%EV -6.54%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-12 19:15
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.78%E -4.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -11.83%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-12 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -20.83%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -15.83%E -5.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.9%2026-10-12 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -14.28%E -5.83%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-12 16:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (1)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%16.1%2026-10-12 15:40
Arbitrage (28 Kombinationen) +1.12%Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.3%) / Pinnacle 2.81 (36.0%) / Betr (AU) 3.40 (29.7%)Alle 28 Kombinationen anzeigen
Celta Fortuna (Heim)Tenerife (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (36.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.12%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)1xBet🎯 3.32 (30.2%)+0.396%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)Fanatics🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.81 (35.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.30 (30.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 2.74 (36.6%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.194%