Language:English
CD Castellón v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 51.64%1.94fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.30%51.70%51.66%54.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.761.751.8661.73%56.85%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.92%23.73%23.72%24.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.953.904.3028.57%25.34%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.488%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.56%24.62%25.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.72%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 51.64%; Almería (Visit): 23.72%; Draw: 24.63%. For Almería (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.75%EV -3.44%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -13.24%E -7.88%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.11%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.12%EV -16.34%E -10.09%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.00%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.88%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.41%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.65%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |