A Escola das OddsPortuguês
CD Castellón v Almería
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
CD Castellón (Local)
Previsão 51.64%1.94odd justa
EV -3.95%
Vantagem -2.12%
Kelly -4.59%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.30%51.70%51.66%54.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.761.751.8661.73%56.85%57.14%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Almería (Visitante)
Previsão 23.72%4.22odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +0.469%
Kelly +0.611%
Crescimento +0.012%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.92%23.73%23.72%24.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.953.904.3028.57%25.34%25.64%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 24.63%4.06odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.366%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.72%24.56%24.62%25.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.72%26.67%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.75%EV -3.44%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -13.24%E -7.88%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.11%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:57 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.12%EV -16.34%E -10.09%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.00%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.88%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.41%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.65%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |