L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 19:04 UTC

Score final : CD Castellón 1–1 Almería

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 51.64%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -4.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.30%51.70%51.66%54.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.761.751.8661.73%56.85%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.469%
Kelly +0.611%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.92%23.73%23.72%24.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.953.904.3028.57%25.34%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.63%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.488%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%24.56%24.62%25.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.72%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.75%EV -3.44%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 19:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 19:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 18:59
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 18:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -13.24%E -7.88%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-06 19:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 18:59
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 19:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.11%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-06 18:59
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 18:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 18:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 18:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 19:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 19:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 18:57
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 19:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.12%EV -16.34%E -10.09%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.00%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.88%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000%20.8%2026-06-06 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 51.41%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.65%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%19.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-06-06 19:00