مدرسة الاحتمالات

CD Castellón v Almería

البداية: 2026-06-06 19:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: CD Castellón 1–1 Almería

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CD Castellón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.64%1.94السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -2.12%
Kelly -4.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.30%51.70%51.66%54.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.761.751.8661.73%56.85%57.14%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Almería (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.72%4.22السعر العادل
EV +2.02%
الأفضلية +0.469%
Kelly +0.611%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.92%23.73%23.72%24.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.953.904.3028.57%25.34%25.64%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.63%4.06السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.366%
Kelly -0.488%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.72%24.56%24.62%25.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.72%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.75%EV -3.44%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 19:00
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 19:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 18:59
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-06 18:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -13.24%E -7.88%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-06 19:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 18:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 18:59
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-06 19:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.11%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-06 18:59
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 19:00
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 18:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 18:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 18:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 19:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-06 19:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 18:57
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-06 19:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.12%EV -16.34%E -10.09%K -26.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.00%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.88%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000%20.8%2026-06-06 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 51.41%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.65%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%19.3%2026-06-06 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-06-06 19:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-06-06 19:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-06-06 19:00