La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 51.64%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.30%51.70%51.66%54.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.751.8661.73%56.85%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%23.73%23.72%24.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.953.904.3028.57%25.34%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.63%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.366%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%24.56%24.62%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.743.754.0031.25%26.72%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -9.11%E -5.18%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +2.02%E +0.469%K +0.611%G +0.012% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +0.829%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.683%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.75%EV -3.44%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.09%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -0.357%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.17%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -13.24%E -7.88%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -1.47%E -0.366%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.11%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.02%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.39%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.69%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:57 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.04%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -12.21%E -7.18%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.12%EV -16.34%E -10.09%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.00%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.88%EV -21.17%E -6.62%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.41%EV -15.82%E -9.71%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -16.96%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.65%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.97% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |