Language:English
Burgos CF v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 37.73%2.65fair odd
EV -0.020%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.012%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.06%37.68%37.74%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.452.6544.44%40.37%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 32.72%3.06fair odd
EV -0.203%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.099%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.67%32.71%32.69%36.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.732.703.0541.15%36.66%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.17%29.61%29.57%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.113.123.3037.04%32.12%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 37.73%; Almería (Visit): 32.72%; Draw: 29.55%. For Burgos CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.651. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.650, with an expected value of -0.020%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -2.28%E -0.882%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.18%E -0.392%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -1.84%E -0.613%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -4.13%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.68%EV -9.08%E -3.77%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.34%E -4.83%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.09%E -5.19%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.64%E -4.73%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.21%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |