L’École des cotes

Burgos CF v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:15 UTC

Score final : Burgos CF 0–0 Almería

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Prévision 37.73%2.65cote équitable
EV -0.020%
Avantage -0.008%
Kelly -0.012%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.06%37.68%37.74%38.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.452.6544.44%40.37%40.82%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.72%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.203%
Avantage -0.067%
Kelly -0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.67%32.71%32.69%36.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.432.732.703.0541.15%36.66%37.04%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.751%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.17%29.61%29.57%30.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.113.123.3037.04%32.12%32.05%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:54
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:24
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -2.28%E -0.882%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.18%E -0.392%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 14:04
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 09:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -1.84%E -0.613%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:00
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 12:49
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:10
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -4.13%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.68%EV -9.08%E -3.77%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:04
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:03
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.34%E -4.83%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.09%E -5.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.64%E -4.73%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.21%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%1.5%2026-05-09 14:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-05-09 14:09