مدرسة الاحتمالات

Burgos CF v Almería

البداية: 2026-05-09 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Burgos CF 0–0 Almería

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Burgos CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.73%2.65السعر العادل
EV -0.020%
الأفضلية -0.008%
Kelly -0.012%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.06%37.68%37.74%38.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.482.452.6544.44%40.37%40.82%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Almería (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.72%3.06السعر العادل
EV -0.203%
الأفضلية -0.067%
Kelly -0.099%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.67%32.71%32.69%36.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.432.732.703.0541.15%36.66%37.04%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.55%3.38السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -0.751%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.17%29.61%29.57%30.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.113.123.3037.04%32.12%32.05%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:54
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:24
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -2.28%E -0.882%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.18%E -0.392%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 14:04
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 09:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -1.84%E -0.613%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:00
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 12:49
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:10
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -4.13%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.68%EV -9.08%E -3.77%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:04
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:03
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.34%E -4.83%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.09%E -5.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.64%E -4.73%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.21%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%1.5%2026-05-09 14:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-05-09 14:09