A Escola das Odds

Burgos CF v Almería

Início: 2026-05-09 14:15 UTC

Final: Burgos CF 0–0 Almería

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Previsão 37.73%2.65odd justa
EV -0.020%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.012%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.06%37.68%37.74%38.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.482.452.6544.44%40.37%40.82%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 32.72%3.06odd justa
EV -0.203%
Vantagem -0.067%
Kelly -0.099%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.67%32.71%32.69%36.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.432.732.703.0541.15%36.66%37.04%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.55%3.38odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -0.751%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.17%29.61%29.57%30.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.113.123.3037.04%32.12%32.05%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:35
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:24
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:54
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:24
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:24
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -2.28%E -0.882%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.18%E -0.392%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:24
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 14:04
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 09:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:24
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -1.84%E -0.613%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:00
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 12:49
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:09
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:10
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -4.13%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.68%EV -9.08%E -3.77%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:04
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:03
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 13:54
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.34%E -4.83%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.09%E -5.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 13:58
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.64%E -4.73%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.21%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-09 14:09
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%1.5%2026-05-09 14:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-05-09 14:09