La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Burgos CF v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burgos CF (Local)
Predicción 37.73%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.020%
Ventaja -0.008%
Kelly -0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.06%37.68%37.74%38.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.452.6544.44%40.37%40.82%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV -0.203%
Ventaja -0.067%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.67%32.71%32.69%36.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.732.703.0541.15%36.66%37.04%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.751%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.17%29.61%29.57%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.113.123.3037.04%32.12%32.05%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -0.020%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -16.56%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -1.91%E -0.733%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.39%EV -2.28%E -0.882%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.18%E -0.392%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -6.32%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.23%EV -18.85%E -7.60%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 09:54 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -20.49%E -8.43%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 13:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.80%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -1.84%E -0.613%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -7.73%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.57%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -0.203%E -0.067%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.55%EV -8.70%E -3.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -4.13%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.68%EV -9.08%E -3.77%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:03 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.45%E -3.94%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -10.02%E -3.64%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.34%E -4.83%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.87%E -3.24%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.28%EV -12.09%E -5.19%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -9.28%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.64%E -4.73%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -13.23%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.21%E -7.49%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.29%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |