Language:English
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 48.51%2.06fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.17%48.64%48.43%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.911.9754.95%52.67%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.32%4.69fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%21.20%21.40%22.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.294.254.7826.67%23.31%23.53%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%30.16%30.16%31.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.033.103.2037.04%32.95%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 48.51%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 21.32%; Draw: 30.17%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV +1.91%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV -3.63%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -13.40%E -4.67%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.27%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.96%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.52%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -11.89%E -4.07%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -20.05%E -5.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -18.53%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.51% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |