A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Burgos CF (Local)
Previsão 48.51%2.06odd justa
EV -4.44%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -4.58%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.17%48.64%48.43%49.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.901.911.9754.95%52.67%52.36%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Previsão 21.32%4.69odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescimento +0.010%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.78
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%21.20%21.40%22.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.294.254.7826.67%23.31%23.53%20.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 30.17%3.31odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%30.16%30.16%31.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.033.103.2037.04%32.95%32.26%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV +1.91%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV -3.63%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -13.40%E -4.67%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.27%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.96%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.52%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -11.89%E -4.07%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -20.05%E -5.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -18.53%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.51% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |