مدرسة الاحتمالات

Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC

البداية: 2026-04-01 18:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Burgos CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.51%2.06السعر العادل
EV -4.44%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -4.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.17%48.64%48.43%49.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.901.911.9754.95%52.67%52.36%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AD Ceuta FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.32%4.69السعر العادل
EV +1.91%
الأفضلية +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.58%21.20%21.40%22.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.294.254.7826.67%23.31%23.53%20.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.17%3.31السعر العادل
EV -3.44%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.42%30.16%30.16%31.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.033.103.2037.04%32.95%32.26%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV +1.91%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 17:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 17:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 18:00
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 18:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 17:59
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV -3.63%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 17:59
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 17:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -13.40%E -4.67%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 18:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.27%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 18:01
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:59
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 18:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 17:59
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 17:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-01 18:01
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 18:01
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 18:00
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 18:01
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 18:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 17:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 17:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 18:00
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 18:01
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 18:01
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 18:00
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 18:01
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 17:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 18:01
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 18:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 18:01
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.96%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.52%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -11.89%E -4.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 17:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-01 18:00
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 18:01
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-01 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-01 18:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 18:00
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 17:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -20.05%E -5.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -18.53%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-01 17:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-04-01 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-04-01 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-04-01 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-04-01 18:01
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-04-01 18:01
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%4.0%2026-04-01 18:01