La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burgos CF (Local)
Predicción 48.51%2.06momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -4.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.17%48.64%48.43%49.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.901.911.9754.95%52.67%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 21.32%4.69momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%21.20%21.40%22.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.294.254.7826.67%23.31%23.53%20.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.17%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%30.16%30.16%31.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.103.2037.04%32.95%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV +1.91%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV -3.63%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -13.40%E -4.67%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.27%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.96%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.52%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -11.89%E -4.07%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -20.05%E -5.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -18.53%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.51% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |