L’École des cotesFrançais
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Burgos CF (Local)
Prévision 48.51%2.06cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.17%48.64%48.43%49.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.901.911.9754.95%52.67%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.32%4.69cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.400%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 4.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%21.20%21.40%22.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.294.254.7826.67%23.31%23.53%20.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.17%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%30.16%30.16%31.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.103.2037.04%32.95%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.18%EV +1.91%E +0.400%K +0.505%G +0.010% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +0.205%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.97%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.93%E -0.419%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV -3.63%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -13.40%E -4.67%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.27%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -4.06%E -0.902%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.51%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.32%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.39%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.33%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.98%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.96%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.52%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.55%EV -11.89%E -4.07%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -6.46%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.46%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.49%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -20.05%E -5.35%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -18.53%E -6.86%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.81% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.51% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 18:01 |