Language:English
Almería v Real Sociedad B
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 60.38%1.66fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.43%60.39%60.36%61.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.6171.43%65.29%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad B (Visit)
Prediction 17.29%5.78fair odd
EV +6.84%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 6.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.34%17.21%17.30%18.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.256.1821.74%19.07%19.05%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.40%22.34%24.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.91%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 60.38%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 17.29%; Draw: 22.33%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.55%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +6.84%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.090% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.267%E +0.046%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -8.83%E -5.84%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.26%EV -4.06%E -0.731%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 00:37 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 09:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -13.66%E -9.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-27 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -10.03%E -6.73%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -15.47%E -11.05%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.28%EV -11.84%E -8.11%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -20.48%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 16.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89% | 13.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |